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This post was originally published on this site.
The short answer: If a “blue wave” materializes, the nation’snational securitywill be greatly compromised and almost no new federal judges or cabinet appointments of any kind will occur.The sort of defense spending the country definitely and urgently needs will not be appropriated, and if he becomes majority leader in the Senate, Chuck Schumer will shut down confirmations of almost all nominees from President Trump.
What difference would those changes make?
On the one hand — the hand that keeps a history textbook open — the answer is “not much.” People expecting a “blue wave” may be disappointed that one or both of the houses of Congress don’t flip on election night, but even if they do, a different kind of disappointment awaits the left.
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First, even the rosiest of scenarios for the left doesn’t give Democrats veto-proof majorities in both legislative chambers, the sort of one-party governance that, for example, has wrecked California.Divided government is a recipe for repeatinggovernment shutdowns, which can annoy and even destroy some things, but cannot bring about fundamental change.
Democrats in D.C.cannot make all of America into California or New York without at least partisan control of all three branches of government and even then, the sort of change the Democratic Socialists of America demand — abolition of the Senate andpacking the Supreme Courtare two of their “must haves” — require at least supermajorities and probably Constitutional amendments.
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The fever dreams of the left are thus going to remain unfulfilled for a very long time, because, no matter how often the “No Kings” canasta parties gather, the Constitution is very strong and doesn’t yield to fits of high revolutionary passion.It was built with the danger of precipitous legislative action in mind and, because deliberation is a feature, not a bug, of our constitutional order, it is rare indeed when anything happens fast.
But significant damage would be done nonetheless, especially tonational security spending.A lame duck Congress run by Republicans could try and pass a three-year defense appropriation, but if it can’t get that done between November 4, 2026, and January 3, 2027,the American militarywill be subject again to the sort of national security self-harm done during the years of “the Sequester.”
Democratic control of the Senate is also almost a guarantee that not a single federal appeals court or Supreme Court nominee would pass through a Chuck Schumer-managed Senate.Schumer would simply roll tape of then-Senate Majority Leader McConnell announcing “no hearings, no votes” in the aftermath of the untimely death of Justice Scalia.Schumer will argue that McConnell set the precedent.
The optics of the different situations between McConnell’s refusal to move Merrick Garland forward in 2016 and those that result if a narrow Democratic Senate majority in 2027 blocks a vote on a Supreme Court nominee might be dramatic enough to wear down Democrats’ resolve for revenge, but probably even a terrible look would not budge such a boycott and certainly not in 2028.Schumer would also likely refuse to allow votes on non-judicial Trump nominees no matter how far out the next election.His hold on the job of leader would be gone the instant he permitted a floor vote on any nominee of consequence, unless he was certain of the votes to defeat that nominee.
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We also know that the hard-left of the Democratic Senate nominees this year —Abdul El-Sayedin Michigan, James Talarico in Texas, Peggy Flanagan in Minnesota, Sherrod Brown in Ohio, Chris Pappas in New Hampshire and Mary Peltola in Alaska — will be united with the anti-defense doves already in the Democratic caucus.What the country must have — a budgeted demand signal for the defense-industrial base — will flicker out.The rebirth ofAmerican shipbuildingwill disappear too, even as China’s Communist Party cheers on the smothering blanket of big government regulation of AI/SI descending on its competitors in the United States.
So a “blue wave” would do great damage, but there are some things such a wave could not do.
President Trump’s continued command of the American military would be unimpaired, for example, nor would such a wave wipe out the re-mooring to the Constitution that has been ongoing at the Supreme Court for the past decade.
So a blue wave would be very bad news, but it wouldn’t overturn the Republic.GOP candidates are on firm ground with warnings about the mess that would follow, giving majorities to Democrats but should avoid hysteria.Our adversaries abroad who are hoping for a Democratic wave should also remember that President George W.Bush ordered “the surge” after Republicans got “thumped” in 2006.If the rump regime in Iran is counting on Democrats to save it from Trump, they could not be more wrong.
onelink.me/xLDS?pid=AppArticleLink&af_web_dp=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.
Vote Republican to keep the country defended and the Constitution intact.But don’t do so because the Republic is in peril.It’s not.Yet.
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